Systematic Prop Firm Trading: 8 Portfolios for Apex, Topstep & Any Firm
I tested 7 systematic prop firm strategies with 1,500 Monte Carlo paths. 12 months of empirical data. 12 portfolios sized to every account tier. Built in Costa Rica over 2 years.
Transcript
Apex. Topstep. MyFundedFutures. $100 to $300 per attempt. They sell you another every time you blow. The retail trader's funded lifespan: under 30 days. They call you undisciplined. It's not discipline. The map is wrong. Two cases. Same instrument — MNQ. Left: a hypothetical discretionary trader. 47 trades attempted. 19 executed before panic. Minus $2,000.
Blown after 19 days. Right: real backtest of Anchor MNQ, 150K preset, 14 contracts. 12 months. 113 trades. 73% win rate. Plus $20,619. Trade ten looks like trade one. Six strategies — Open, Anchor, Pivot, Hook, Reject, Trace. Four instruments — micro Nasdaq, micro gold, cash Nasdaq, spot gold. Sixteen valid combinations. By design. Open and Trace run on all four.
Anchor and Hook on Nasdaq markets. Pivot and Reject only on gold. From these sixteen: eight portfolios. Two for each futures tier — 50K, 100K, 150K. Plus Forex Champion and Focus on 100K Swing. Each portfolio is sized to the account's drawdown profile and the firm's blow rules. Twelve months of data. 363 trading days.
Left: the 50K Defensive portfolio. Net $14,000 a year. Blow rate 4.4%. 3-year viability 86.5. Median time to first payout: 53 days. Right: the 100K Forex Champion. Net $83,000 a year. Blow rate 0.27%. 3-year viability 98.8. Median TTP 26 days. Both stress-tested under 1,500 Monte Carlo paths, 3-year horizon. What you see is what survives the simulation.
Step one. Buy your bundle, from $797 a quarter. Step two. Get the invite-only TradingView Pine scripts. Step three. Choose your path — run alerts manually, or wire them to a broker for full automation. Step four. Pass evaluation. Collect at the firm's split — 80 to 100 percent. Median time to first payout: 51 days.
Range: 26 to 91. Eight portfolios on one chart. Annual blow rate against 3-year viability — the % of Monte Carlo paths still alive after three years. Bubble size shows net per year. Top-left: Forex Champion. $83,000 a year at 0.27% blow. Worst: 50K Aggressive — off the chart at 12% blow. Median time to first payout: Forex Champion 26 days.
Roster median: 51. No martingale. No grid. No curve fitting. Twelve months of empirical data. Eight portfolios. Plus $378,000 aggregate. Sixteen strategy combinations. Built over the last two years in Costa Rica. After 25 years behind a desk. For the freedom to surf, to think, to step away. The strategy doesn't get bored. Get the data.
Read the full write-up
- Emotional Detachment: Why Caring Less Improves Results
- ICT Methodology Meets Monte Carlo: An Honest Backtest
- Manual vs Automated Prop Firm Strategies — Which to Pick
- Patience and Trusting the Process in Prop Firm Trading
- Your Strategy Never Gets Greedy
- Which Strategy Survives a Prop Firm Drawdown?
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All figures are hypothetical or from live-tracked accounts as stated in the video. Past and simulated performance does not guarantee future results. This is educational content, not financial advice.