Total Apr 2025 – Sep 2026 · live layer = real account at the same presets since Apr 2026
Anchor MNQ 4 ct + Reject MGC 1,000 USD budget — single 100K Futures Prop account, one position per strategy.
Composition updated 1 Oct 2026. Reject MGC 1 ct converted to a 1,000 USD risk budget. Previous composition until 30 Sep 2026: Anchor MNQ 4 ct + Reject MGC 1 ct. The modeled and live figures on this page are from the previous composition (history is not restated); figures for the new composition accrue from October 2026.
About. 100K-Balanced is the risk-first variant of its tier: composition and sizing chosen to keep blow rate low and the equity path steady while preserving a solidly positive interquartile range.
When to use. Your default deployment for this tier. Lowest blow rate of the tier variants; move to the Growth variant once the workflow is proven.
At a glance
4.59 PF · 81.4% Win rate · $1,210 Max DD (EOD) · 4.30 Sharpe
Total Apr 2025 – Sep 2026 as sized; forecast metrics: Monte Carlo, 1,500 paths, 3-year horizon, input Apr 2025 – Sep 2026. Viability 3y = % of MC paths that never hit the hard drawdown. Payout potential : blow = full payout units reached in profit per one account blow over 3y (potential, not a payout schedule). TTP = median days to first payout unit.
100K-Balanced fits one account. The Playbook covers all of them.
Every portfolio configuration side by side — the figures above, the composition and the sizing per tier. One PDF, then our letters with what the systems did.
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Equity curve · modeled + live
Joint daily P&L applied to the $100,000 starting balance, log scale. Gray = modeled (2025-04-01 → 2026-03-31); accent = live (2026-04-01 → 2026-09-30), right of the “LIVE →” marker. Dotted red = hard DD floor ($97,000); dotted green = eval target ($106,000).
Quarterly breakdown
Q2’25–Q1’26 modeled · live since Q2’26 (real account, through Sep 2026). Portfolio as sized (composition until 30 Sep 2026).
| Quarter | Layer | Net | WR | Trades | Max DD (EOD) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q2'25 | modeled | +$4,598 | 87.1% | 62 | $246 |
| Q3'25 | modeled | +$1,818 | 72.7% | 55 | $346 |
| Q4'25 | modeled | +$5,378 | 79.6% | 49 | $1,210 |
| Q1'26 | modeled | +$6,776 | 77.3% | 44 | $582 |
| Q2'26 live | live | +$1,542 | 85.7% | 21 | $436 |
| Q3'26 live | live | +$5,048 | 90.6% | 32 | $659 |
What's running · from 1 Oct 2026
| Strategy | Qty | Role |
|---|---|---|
| Anchor MNQ | 4 ct | standalone |
| Reject MGC | 1,000 USD budget | portfolio-only |
TradeZella merges partial exits into one position, so its trade count runs below the TradingView trade list; net P&L matches to the dollar.
Full metrics
Net / yr range · P25–P75 (1,500-path Monte Carlo)
| Percentile | Net / yr | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| P25 | $10.1k | Weak year — bottom quartile of simulated paths |
| P50 | $11.2k | Median expectation |
| P75 | $12.3k | Strong year — top quartile |
Day-level performance
Risk-adjusted ratios · total Apr 2025 – Sep 2026
Modeled Apr 2025 – Mar 2026: Sharpe 4.57, PF 4.27, max DD $1,210 · Live Apr 2026 – Sep 2026: Sharpe 3.74, PF 5.98, max DD $659
How these numbers were calculated
Trade counts, win rates, profit factors and drawdown come directly from the TradingView Strategy Tester for the presets shown. Live-phase figures (Apr 2026 – Sep 2026) are real-account results at the same presets. Both reproduce 1:1.
DD%, vs-modeled ratios and percentile breakdowns are computed from the same trade list using standard methodology — reproducible in Excel or Python.
Time-to-payout, payout potential, Net $/yr ranges and blow rate come from a 1,500-path Monte Carlo over a 3-year horizon (input Apr 2025 – Sep 2026). Block bootstrap (5-day blocks) preserves streak autocorrelation.
Risk disclosure
100K-Balanced’s Monte Carlo blow rate is 0.00% per year. Maximum drawdown over the total window (Apr 2025 – Sep 2026) was $1,210 — 40.3% of the hard DD budget. The lower-quartile (P25) outcome is $10.1k/yr. Trade-WR 81.4% ≈ 81 of 100 trades profitable. Day-WR 78%. Past performance, modeled or live, does not guarantee future results.
Other portfolios
All 15 configurations plus the PVE Index. Click any to view its detail page.
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