50K-Defensive

DEFENSIVE

50K Futures Prop · Defensive

Data window · 12 months · Jun 1, 2025 → May 29, 2026

Open MNQ + Trace MGC — running on a single 50K Futures Prop account.

50K Futures Prop Open MNQ 2 ct · Trace MGC 1 ct

2.57

Profit factor
empirical 12mo

$14k

Net / yr
MC P50 median

53.2%

Trade-WR
weighted average

87:1

Payouts : Blow
expected ratio

53d

Typical TTP
1st funded payout

About this portfolio

The core 50K pairing. Open MNQ (opening-range breakout — first-hour range expansion with a retest entry and a hard end-of-day flat) paired with Trace MGC on micro gold. All three Monte-Carlo percentiles finish positive; max DD 61.9% of hard limit.

When to use 50K-Defensive

When you want minimum risk on a 50K challenge. Trade slower (115d typical TTP, 5.7 payouts/yr) for the lowest blow rate in the 50K tier — ahead of some 150K variants.

12-month equity curve

Joint daily P&L applied to the $50,000 starting balance. Sample period: Jun 1, 2025 — May 29, 2026. Dotted red = hard DD floor ($48,000). Dotted green = evaluation target ($53,000).

Blow / yr: 4.4% (MC)·Sharpe: 4.36·Net / yr: $14k (MC P50)·Max DD: $1,238 (61.9% of hard limit)

Full portfolio analytics · TradeZella

50K Defensive full portfolio analytics — verified in TradeZella

Verified in TradeZella·Net $20,194·PF 2.57·Day-WR 57.9%·Zella 85.2

What's running

50K-Defensive stacks 2 strategies on a single 50K Futures Prop account. Each strategy contributes its own setup type and trade frequency.

Open

MNQ · 2 ct

Opening-range breakout on the Nasdaq micro — trades the first-hour range expansion with a retest confirmation and a hard end-of-day flat. Higher trade frequency than the gold leg and the primary return driver of the pair.

Trace

MGC · 1 ct

Asymmetric R-multiple on micro gold — same as 50K-Balanced. Adds an uncorrelated signal source without compounding MNQ exposure.

Each strategy is independently developed and tuned per instrument. See the individual strategy detail pages for full mechanics and backtest stats.

Full metrics

Primary metrics in the hero. Full breakdown below: payouts, range of Monte Carlo outcomes, max DD, risk-adjusted ratios.

4.0

Payouts / yr (median)

53.2%

Trade-WR · weighted avg

4.4%

Blow / yr

87:1

Payouts : Blow

Net / yr range · P25–P75 (1,500-path Monte Carlo)

Percentile	Net / yr	Meaning
P25 · lower quartile	$12.0k	Bottom 25% of simulated paths
MEDIAN (P50)	$13.7k	Typical outcome — 50% better / 50% worse
P75 · upper quartile	$15.3k	Top 25% of paths

Day-level performance

% of trading days with positive joint P&L over the 12-month empirical sample. This is a portfolio-level day-WR, not trade-WR. In prop firm context, this is meaningful for consistency rules.

54.5%

Day Win Rate

Risk-adjusted ratios

4.36

Sharpe

2.57

Profit factor

$1,238

Empirical max DD

61.9%

DD as % of hard limit

Risk disclosure

Specific risk profile for 50K-Defensive. We show the interquartile range (P25–P75) so you see the realistic spread, not just headline numbers.

⚠ What this means. 50K-Defensive's blow rate is 4.4% per year — in roughly 4 out of 100 simulated 1-year paths, the account breaches the hard DD floor. Empirical maximum drawdown on the 12-month sample (Jun 2025 — May 2026) was $1,238 — 61.9% of the account's hard DD budget. The lower-quartile (P25) outcome is $12.0k Net/yr — even the bottom 25% of paths from the 1,500-path simulation finish well in profit. Trade-WR of 53.2% (weighted average across the two underlying strategies, Open MNQ + Trace MGC) means roughly 54 out of 100 trades close in profit on this portfolio. Day-WR (% profitable trading days from joint equity) is 57.9%.

Other portfolios

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