Fade: The Strategy With the Best Risk Profile in Our Catalog (Not the Best Earner)
Extreme reversion on four instruments: zero blow rate on three of them across 1,500 simulated account lives, the two lowest drawdowns in the catalog — and a median simulated year under $4k at the 100K preset. A stabilizer, not an engine.
Transcript
The ninth strategy family went on the site on September first, the day we said it would. It is not our best earner.
In a ranking of all twenty-nine strategy-instrument combinations in the catalog, Fade sits in the middle of the table on income — and at the very top on risk. That's the whole film.
Fade is an extreme-reversion system. It waits for a move to stretch far beyond its normal range, then trades against it — but only once the move itself shows failure. Exhaustion first. Confirmation second. Entry last. Stretched-but-still-trending conditions are skipped entirely.
One timeframe on all four instruments, one position, one exit, stop and target placed together with the entry — long and short alike.
The numbers, at one-hundred-K presets, trailing twelve months, modeled: gold C-F-D just under eighteen thousand. Nasdaq C-F-D twelve. Micro gold six. Micro Nasdaq just under six. Profit factor between three-point-two and four-point-four on every instrument — above the catalog median.
And the part that puts it at the top: across fifteen hundred simulated account lives, three of the four blow zero accounts. The fourth blows two in ten thousand. The two lowest drawdowns among all our futures strategies are both Fade.
Then the live layer, separate and labeled: five months on funded accounts since April, eighty-one trades, thirty-one thousand net.
Now the honest part. On the two futures instruments, a median simulated year is under four thousand dollars — the catalog median is over nine. Fade takes thirty to forty-five trades a year. Three or four a month. You will see quiet weeks.
So this is not an engine. It's a stabilizer — the strategy you add to a basket where something else is already working hard, to make the whole account calmer. It isn't in any portfolio yet. Compositions get reviewed each quarter, and it's a candidate.
Fade is in every plan. Lifetime holders received it on September first, automatically. The publication page and the tester are public on TradingView; the monthly tables — modeled and live, labeled separately — are on the site.
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All figures are hypothetical or from live-tracked accounts as stated in the video. Past and simulated performance does not guarantee future results. This is educational content, not financial advice.