Backtest: 2025-04-01 → 2026-03-31 · Live: 2026-04-01 → 2026-08-31 (Q2 full + Q3 accruing)
Anchor MNQ 3 ct + Trace MGC 1 ct — single 50K Futures Prop account, one strategy per instrument.
About. 50K-Growth is the return-ceiling variant of its tier: bigger size on the core component in exchange for a higher blow rate. Faster funding when it works, more tail risk when it does not.
When to use. For a funded account you can afford to re-earn: prioritises net per year and time-to-payout over survival odds. Pair it with a Balanced variant on a second account to smooth the path.
At a glance
Rolling last 12 months at 100K preset; forecast metrics from 1,500-path Monte Carlo, 3-year horizon. Viability 3y = % of MC paths that never hit the hard drawdown. Payouts : blow = payouts per one account blow over 3y. TTP = median days to first payout.
Equity curve · backtest + live
Joint daily P&L applied to the $50,000 starting balance, log scale. Gray = pre-publication (2025-04-01 → 2026-03-31); accent = live (2026-04-01 → 2026-08-31), right of the “LIVE →” marker. Dotted red = hard DD floor ($48,000); dotted green = eval target ($53,000).
Quarterly breakdown
Q2’25–Q1’26 pre-publication · live since Q2’26 · Q3’26 accruing (2 of 3 months). Portfolio as sized.
| Quarter | Net | WR | Trades | Max DD (EOD) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q2'25 | +$3,798 | 65.8% | 38 | $376 |
| Q3'25 | +$2,773 | 51.3% | 78 | $525 |
| Q4'25 | +$3,938 | 59.4% | 69 | $1,170 |
| Q1'26 | +$10,551 | 67.7% | 65 | $784 |
| Q2'26 | +$1,721 | 55.9% | 34 | $1,050 |
| Q3'26 · 2 mo | +$1,499 | 54.3% | 35 | $1,295 |
What's running
| Strategy | Qty | Role |
|---|---|---|
| Anchor MNQ | 3 ct | |
| Trace MGC | 1 ct |
TradeZella merges partial exits into one position, so its trade count runs below the TradingView trade list; net P&L matches to the dollar.
Full metrics
Net / yr range · P25–P75 (1,500-path Monte Carlo)
| Percentile | Net / yr | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| P25 | $8.8k | Weak year — bottom quartile of simulated paths |
| P50 | $12.4k | Median expectation |
| P75 | $11.2k | Strong year — top quartile |
Day-level performance
Risk-adjusted ratios
How these numbers were calculated
Trade counts, win rates, profit factors and drawdown come directly from the TradingView Strategy Tester for the presets shown. Live-phase figures (since Q2’26, through Aug’26) are live-tracked and modeled results. Both reproduce 1:1.
DD%, vs-modeled ratios and percentile breakdowns are computed from the same trade list using standard methodology — reproducible in Excel or Python.
Time-to-payout, Net $/yr ranges and modeled blow rate come from a 1,500-path Monte Carlo over a 3-year horizon. Block bootstrap (5-day blocks) preserves streak autocorrelation.
Risk disclosure
50K-Growth's blow rate is 1.53% per year. Empirical maximum drawdown on the backtest (Sep 2025 – Aug 2026) was $1,415 — 70.8% of the hard DD budget; live-quarter max DD $1,295. The lower-quartile (P25) outcome is $8.8k/yr. Trade-WR 59.6% ≈ 60 of 100 trades profitable. Day-WR 56%.
Other portfolios
All 15 configurations. Click any to view its detail page.
Get 50K-Growth + everything else.
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