PVE Index FX286.88▲ +1.35% Q4 to date+186.88% totalPVE Index FUT180.55▼ -1.56% Q4 to date+80.55% total
Q4 2026 (to date) · 1 Apr 2025 = 100

50K-Growth

GROWTH50K Futures Prop · hard DD $2,000SAFE · blow 1.93%/y

Total Apr 2025 – Oct 2026 · live layer = real account at the same presets since Apr 2026

Anchor MNQ 3 ct + Trace MGC 1 ct — single 50K Futures Prop account, one position per strategy.

History correction, 1 Nov 2026. Anchor’s modeled and live history was rebuilt from new TradingView exports (the 30 Sep 2026 export could not be reproduced). Figures on this page use the corrected series.

About. 50K-Growth is the return-ceiling variant of its tier: bigger size on the core component in exchange for a higher blow rate. Faster funding when it works, more tail risk when it does not.

When to use. For a funded account you can afford to re-earn: prioritises net per year and time-to-payout over survival odds. Pair it with a Balanced variant on a second account to smooth the path.

At a glance

Total net+$15,83350K-Growth · Apr 2025 – Oct 2026 · 31.7% of $50,000 · 220 trades
2.12 PF · 56.8% Win rate · $1,636 Max DD (EOD) · 2.55 Sharpe
Modeled · Apr 2025 – Mar 2026+$13,952 · 157 trades · PF 2.73
Live · Apr 2026 – Oct 2026+$1,881 · 63 trades · PF 1.31
2.12
Profit factor · total
$1,636
Max DD EOD · total · 81.8% of hard
56.8%
Trade win rate · total
94.3%
Viability 3y
785:1
Payout potential : blow
83d
Typical TTP

Total Apr 2025 – Oct 2026 as sized; forecast metrics: Monte Carlo, 1,500 paths, 3-year horizon, input Apr 2025 – Oct 2026. Viability 3y = % of MC paths that never hit the hard drawdown. Payout potential : blow = full payout units reached in profit per one account blow over 3y (potential, not a payout schedule). TTP = median days to first payout unit.

Live Apr 2026 – Oct 2026+$1,881 · 63 trades · 7 months · 23% of modeled pace · max DD $1,111

Equity curve · modeled + live

Joint daily P&L applied to the $50,000 starting balance, log scale. Gray = modeled (2025-04-01 → 2026-03-31); accent = live (2026-04-01 → 2026-10-30), right of the “LIVE →” marker. Dotted red = hard DD floor ($48,000); dotted green = eval target ($53,000).

$47k$49k$52k$55k$58k$61k$64k$68khard DD floor $48,000eval target $53,000LIVE Apr'26 →2025-042025-072025-102026-012026-042026-072026-10
Blow / yr: 1.93% (MC)·Sharpe (modeled): 3.35·Net / yr P50 (MC): $6.7k·Max DD (modeled): $1,636 (81.8% of hard)·Modeled +$13,952 · live +$1,881

Quarterly breakdown

Q2’25–Q1’26 modeled · live since Q2’26 (real account, through Oct 2026). Portfolio as sized.

QuarterLayerNetWRTradesMax DD (EOD)
Q2'25modeled+$1,999——$363
Q3'25modeled+$2,032——$534
Q4'25modeled+$1,938——$1,636
Q1'26modeled+$7,984——$266
Q2'26 livelive+$1,551——$1,050
Q3'26 livelive+$593——$1,111
Q4'26 live (to date)live−$263——$319

What's running

StrategyQtyRole
Anchor MNQ3 ctstandalone
Trace MGC1 ctstandalone
50K-Growth TradeZella analytics
TradeZella analyticsTotal Apr 2025 – Sep 2026 · portfolio as sized · Zella score, calendar & daily P&L

TradeZella merges partial exits into one position, so its trade count runs below the TradingView trade list; net P&L matches to the dollar.

Full metrics

14.7
Payout potential / yr (MC)
54%
Day win rate · total
1.93%
Blow / yr (MC)
5.84
Sortino · total

Net / yr range · P25–P75 (1,500-path Monte Carlo)

PercentileNet / yrMeaning
P25$5.7kWeak year — bottom quartile of simulated paths
P50$6.7kMedian expectation
P75$7.8kStrong year — top quartile

Day-level performance

54%
Day win rate · total
57% · 49%
Day win rate · modeled · live
14.7
Payout potential / yr (MC)
83d
Typical time-to-payout

Risk-adjusted ratios · total Apr 2025 – Oct 2026

2.55
Sharpe (daily, ann.)
5.84
Sortino
2.12
Profit factor
$1,636
Max DD EOD · 81.8% of hard
6.11
Calmar
$240
Avg win
−$152
Avg loss
$1,533
Largest win
−$546
Largest loss
—
Avg bars

Modeled Apr 2025 – Mar 2026: Sharpe 3.35, PF 2.73, max DD $1,636 · Live Apr 2026 – Oct 2026: Sharpe 0.95, PF 1.31, max DD $1,111

How these numbers were calculated

Layer 1 · Verifiable

Trade counts, win rates, profit factors and drawdown come directly from the TradingView Strategy Tester for the presets shown. Live-phase figures (Apr 2026 – Oct 2026) are real-account results at the same presets. Both reproduce 1:1.

Layer 2 · Computed

DD%, vs-modeled ratios and percentile breakdowns are computed from the same trade list using standard methodology — reproducible in Excel or Python.

Layer 3 · Modeled

Time-to-payout, payout potential, Net $/yr ranges and blow rate come from a 1,500-path Monte Carlo over a 3-year horizon (input Apr 2025 – Oct 2026). Block bootstrap (5-day blocks) preserves streak autocorrelation.

Risk disclosure

50K-Growth’s Monte Carlo blow rate is 1.93% per year. Maximum drawdown over the total window (Apr 2025 – Oct 2026) was $1,636 — 81.8% of the hard DD budget. The lower-quartile (P25) outcome is $5.7k/yr. Trade-WR 56.8% ≈ 57 of 100 trades profitable. Day-WR 54%. Past performance, modeled or live, does not guarantee future results.

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