Total Apr 2025 – Sep 2026 · live layer = real account at the same presets since Apr 2026
Pivot XAU 2,000 USD budget + Fade XAU 0.24 lot + Open XAU 0.1 lot + Trace XAU 0.3 lot — single 100K Forex Prop Swing account, one position per strategy.
Composition updated 1 Oct 2026. Pivot XAU moved to a 2,000 USD risk budget; Reject XAU swapped for Fade XAU 0.24 lot. Previous composition until 30 Sep 2026: Pivot XAU 0.3 lot + Reject XAU 0.15 lot + Open XAU 0.1 lot + Trace XAU 0.3 lot. The modeled and live figures on this page are from the previous composition (history is not restated); figures for the new composition accrue from October 2026.
About. Forex Focus is a concentrated pure-XAU configuration — four gold strategies stacked on one swing account for maximum signal density on a single instrument.
When to use. When you want everything on gold: one instrument to monitor, four uncorrelated setups on it.
At a glance
2.87 PF · 81.2% Win rate · $4,194 Max DD (EOD) · 3.30 Sharpe
Total Apr 2025 – Sep 2026 as sized; forecast metrics: Monte Carlo, 1,500 paths, 3-year horizon, input Apr 2025 – Sep 2026. Viability 3y = % of MC paths that never hit the hard drawdown. Payout potential : blow = full payout units reached in profit per one account blow over 3y (potential, not a payout schedule). TTP = median days to first payout unit.
Forex Focus fits one account. The Playbook covers all of them.
Every portfolio configuration side by side — the figures above, the composition and the sizing per tier. One PDF, then our letters with what the systems did.
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Equity curve · modeled + live
Joint daily P&L applied to the $100,000 starting balance, log scale. Gray = modeled (2025-04-01 → 2026-03-31); accent = live (2026-04-01 → 2026-09-30), right of the “LIVE →” marker. Dotted red = hard DD floor ($90,000); dotted green = eval target ($110,000).
Quarterly breakdown
Q2’25–Q1’26 modeled · live since Q2’26 (real account, through Sep 2026). Portfolio as sized (composition until 30 Sep 2026).
| Quarter | Layer | Net | WR | Trades | Max DD (EOD) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q2'25 | modeled | +$4,678 | 82.4% | 68 | $2,746 |
| Q3'25 | modeled | +$3,498 | 74.6% | 71 | $1,187 |
| Q4'25 | modeled | +$7,041 | 81.2% | 64 | $1,047 |
| Q1'26 | modeled | +$28,559 | 92.1% | 63 | $1,230 |
| Q2'26 live | live | +$8,293 | 82.4% | 51 | $4,194 |
| Q3'26 live | live | +$5,002 | 70.9% | 55 | $1,812 |
What's running · from 1 Oct 2026
| Strategy | Qty | Role |
|---|---|---|
| Pivot XAU | 2,000 USD budget | portfolio-only |
| Fade XAU | 0.24 lot | portfolio-only |
| Open XAU | 0.1 lot | standalone |
| Trace XAU | 0.3 lot | standalone |
TradeZella merges partial exits into one position, so its trade count runs below the TradingView trade list; net P&L matches to the dollar.
Full metrics
Net / yr range · P25–P75 (1,500-path Monte Carlo)
| Percentile | Net / yr | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| P25 | $22.8k | Weak year — bottom quartile of simulated paths |
| P50 | $25.8k | Median expectation |
| P75 | $29.0k | Strong year — top quartile |
Day-level performance
Risk-adjusted ratios · total Apr 2025 – Sep 2026
Modeled Apr 2025 – Mar 2026: Sharpe 3.92, PF 3.82, max DD $2,746 · Live Apr 2026 – Sep 2026: Sharpe 2.18, PF 1.89, max DD $4,194
How these numbers were calculated
Trade counts, win rates, profit factors and drawdown come directly from the TradingView Strategy Tester for the presets shown. Live-phase figures (Apr 2026 – Sep 2026) are real-account results at the same presets. Both reproduce 1:1.
DD%, vs-modeled ratios and percentile breakdowns are computed from the same trade list using standard methodology — reproducible in Excel or Python.
Time-to-payout, payout potential, Net $/yr ranges and blow rate come from a 1,500-path Monte Carlo over a 3-year horizon (input Apr 2025 – Sep 2026). Block bootstrap (5-day blocks) preserves streak autocorrelation.
Risk disclosure
Forex Focus’s Monte Carlo blow rate is 0.00% per year. Maximum drawdown over the total window (Apr 2025 – Sep 2026) was $4,194 — 41.9% of the hard DD budget. The lower-quartile (P25) outcome is $22.8k/yr. Trade-WR 81.2% ≈ 81 of 100 trades profitable. Day-WR 74%. Past performance, modeled or live, does not guarantee future results.
Other portfolios
All 15 configurations plus the PVE Index. Click any to view its detail page.
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